Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
