SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Bournemouth |
42.39% ( -0.23) | 24.02% ( 0) | 33.59% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.68% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.07) | 41.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( 0.07) | 64% ( -0.07) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0.07) | 19.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( -0.12) | 51.95% ( 0.12) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( 0.17) | 24.28% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( 0.23) | 58.65% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.59% |
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