SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
45.32% ( -0.47) | 24.67% ( 0.29) | 30% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -1.22) | 46.02% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( -1.17) | 68.32% ( 1.16) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.7) | 20.39% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( -1.12) | 52.8% ( 1.12) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.5) | 28.68% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.62) | 64.5% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30% |
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