SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
41.11% ( -2.03) | 25.43% ( -0.04) | 33.46% ( 2.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.84) | 48.07% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( 0.76) | 70.24% ( -0.76) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.63) | 23.22% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( -0.92) | 57.12% ( 0.93) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 1.75) | 27.46% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( 2.21) | 62.94% ( -2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.46% |
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