After increasing their match fitness while Stateside, Bournemouth will prove far too strong for Rayo Vallecano on home turf: Iraola's current club should secure their first win of pre-season, leaving his former side still searching for theirs.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
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