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Thursday, November 21
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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Ground

Accrington
5 - 0
Leicester U21s

Leigh (24'), Nottingham (32'), Nolan (51'), O'Sullivan (53'), Malcolm (62')
Leigh (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McAteer (9')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Accrington Stanley and Leicester City Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 12.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLeicester City Under-21s
70.45%17.06%12.48%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97%35.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.98%57.02%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.14%8.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.66%30.34%
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26%39.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59%76.41%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 70.45%
    Leicester City Under-21s 12.48%
    Draw 17.06%
Accrington StanleyDrawLeicester City Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.06%
4-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.56%
5-0 @ 2.45%
5-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.05%
6-0 @ 0.99%
6-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 70.45%
1-1 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.4%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.06%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-1 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 12.48%

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