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League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kassam Stadium
AS

Oxford Utd
5 - 1
Accrington

Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
55.07%23.44%21.49%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09%69.91%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81%17.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54%47.46%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 55.06%
    Accrington Stanley 21.49%
    Draw 23.44%
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.74%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.49%

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