Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
