Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
