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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
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AFC Wimbledon
5 - 3
Portsmouth

Kalambayi (2'), Presley (43', 80' pen.), Nightingale (87'), McCormick (90+4')
Lawrence (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harrison (45+4', 52', 78')
Mnoga (2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
24.46%24.05%51.49%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77%47.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54%69.46%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45%33.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81%70.19%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66%18.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55%49.45%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 24.46%
    Portsmouth 51.48%
    Draw 24.04%
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.72%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.46%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.85%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.48%

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