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NT
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
PTS Academy Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
AW

Northampton
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon


Horsfall (34'), Hoskins (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hartigan (90+4')
Csoka (17'), Presley (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
38.42%26.98%34.6%
Both teams to score 50.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25%75.75%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48%27.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97%63.03%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18%29.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1%65.9%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.41%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.6%
    Draw 26.97%
Northampton TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.6%

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