SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Mansfield Town |
21.34% ( -6.26) | 22.8% ( -1.92) | 55.86% ( 8.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( 2.46) | 45.16% ( -2.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( 2.31) | 67.5% ( -2.31) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -4) | 35.23% ( 4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -4.42) | 71.99% ( 4.41) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( 4.02) | 16% ( -4.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( 6.91) | 45.32% ( -6.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -1.4) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -1.19)2-0 @ 3.07% ( -1.17)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.69)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.58)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.93) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.62)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 9.47% ( 1.38)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.99)0-3 @ 5.78% ( 1.45)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.74)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.91)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.36)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.41)Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.86% |
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