SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
54.05% ( 2.49) | 23.19% ( -0.76) | 22.76% ( -1.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( 1.55) | 45.18% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( 1.47) | 67.53% ( -1.47) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( 1.49) | 16.64% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.52% ( 2.61) | 46.48% ( -2.61) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( -0.67) | 33.92% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( -0.73) | 70.59% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackpool | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.05% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.76% |
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