SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
23% ( 0.02) | 23.01% ( -0.01) | 54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.07) | 44.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( 0.07) | 66.55% ( -0.06) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 0.06) | 33.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( 0.06) | 69.75% ( -0.06) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( 0.02) | 16.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( 0.04) | 45.86% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 23% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 54% |
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