SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Chesterfield |
22.28% ( -1.15) | 22.26% ( -0.1) | 55.46% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.86) | 41.58% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -0.88) | 63.98% ( 0.87) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -1.48) | 32.35% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( -1.7) | 68.86% ( 1.7) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( 0.12) | 14.89% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( 0.22) | 43.24% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.46% |
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