SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
29.86% ( 3.34) | 23.87% ( 0.79) | 46.28% ( -4.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.55% ( -1.38) | 42.45% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% ( -1.4) | 64.85% ( 1.4) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 1.63) | 26.99% ( -1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.66% ( 2.08) | 62.34% ( -2.07) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( -2.11) | 18.55% ( 2.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.2% ( -3.68) | 49.8% ( 3.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.59) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.67)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.55)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.41)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.4)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.28% |
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