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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
31.61% ( 0.38) | 21.53% ( 0.12) | 46.85% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 69.22% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.91% ( -0.38) | 30.09% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.7% ( -0.46) | 51.3% ( 0.46) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( 0.02) | 51.98% ( -0.02) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( -0.3) | 13.61% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.25% ( -0.61) | 40.75% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.85% |
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