The visitors have been very poor this season, and their lack of attacking strength has been evident up to this point. While the hosts have not been incredible themselves, they have found the net more often than not this season, and we fancy them to edge this one by a single goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
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