Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
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