Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.
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