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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
BR

Cheltenham
1 - 4
Bristol Rovers

Sercombe (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers have won their last two league games and this puts them in a good position to pick up a positive result in this fixture. However, with Cheltenham being on good form at home and their most recent defeat being to a difficult Sheffield Wednesday side, we expect them to put on a good performance and therefore a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)49.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.6% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.012 -0.01)65.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 43.29%
    Bristol Rovers 31.21%
    Draw 25.49%
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-6 Lincoln
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One


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