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CA
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
The Valley
CT

Charlton
6 - 1
Crawley

Davison (6', 90'), Taylor (18'), Lee (22'), Francomb (54' og.), Burstow (82')
Pearce (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Appiah (75' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCrawley Town
43.19%25.02%31.79%
Both teams to score 56.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95%69.05%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34%21.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2%54.8%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12%27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51%63.5%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 43.19%
    Crawley Town 31.79%
    Draw 25.02%
Charlton AthleticDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.19%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.79%

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