Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%).
