Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
