Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
23.28% | 22.8% | 53.93% |
Both teams to score 57.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.11% | 42.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.71% | 65.29% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.81% | 32.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.32% | 68.68% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% | 15.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.94% | 45.06% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 6.04% 1-0 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.55% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.57% 1-5 @ 1.02% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.6% Total : 53.93% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: