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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
CA

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 2
Crewe

Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

The mood in the Crewe camp will certainly be lifted by Saturday's win, and we see them outfighting the hosts on Tuesday to earn another much-needed win. Wimbledon will be wounded by their poor run of form, and we would not be surprised to see them fall to another league defeat given their slump in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
46.03%25.98%27.99%
Both teams to score 51.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.39%52.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74%74.26%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18%22.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47%56.54%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44%33.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8%70.2%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 46.03%
    Crewe Alexandra 27.99%
    Draw 25.98%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.99%

Read more!
Read more!


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