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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Reebok Stadium
CA

Bolton
2 - 0
Crewe

Sheehan (50' pen.), Bakayoko (54')
Kachunga (2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mandron (10'), Long (29'), Gomes (35'), Offord (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCrewe Alexandra
56.58%23.22%20.2%
Both teams to score 51.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63%48.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49%70.51%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11%16.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08%46.91%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78%38.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02%74.97%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 56.57%
    Crewe Alexandra 20.2%
    Draw 23.22%
Bolton WanderersDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 0.96%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2%
Total : 56.57%
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.2%

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