Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
36.04% | 26.46% | 37.5% |
Both teams to score 52.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% | 52.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% | 73.85% |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% | 27.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% | 26.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% | 62.34% |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.5% |
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