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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
BL

Accrington
1 - 0
Bolton

Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

These two teams have been in very similar form and both enter this fixture on the back of defeats, suggesting that it is going to be a cagey affair as neither team will want to record consecutive losses. Bolton will be aware of their poor form away from home recently, and a point on the road this Saturday could be viewed as a good point to break the losing cycle on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
31.93%25.08%42.99%
Both teams to score 56.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1%27.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49%63.51%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15%21.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91%55.09%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 31.93%
    Bolton Wanderers 42.99%
    Draw 25.07%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.99%

Read more!
Read more!


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