Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
