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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
R

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Rochdale

Cullen (64'), Shelton (90+2')
Odusina (15')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Andrews (55')
White (66')

We said: Hartlepool United 1-1 Rochdale

Hartlepool have a good opportunity to break their losing streak in League Two after a couple of really positive results in cup competitions against higher-tier opposition. Rochdale are in a run of form picking up multiple draws, and it is likely that they will earn another single point on Wednesday having not won in the division since the end of October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawRochdale
40.05%27.65%32.29%
Both teams to score 48.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65%57.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83%78.17%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99%28.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34%63.65%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14%32.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57%69.43%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 40.05%
    Rochdale 32.29%
    Draw 27.64%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.24%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.29%

Read more!
Read more!


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