Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
