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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
NT

Ipswich
6 - 0
Northampton

Harness (11', 16'), Leigh (26'), Burgess (58'), Edmundson (83'), Ladapo (90+1')
Ball (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Ipswich Town and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawNorthampton Town
45.17% (0.545 0.55) 26.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.77% (-0.549 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.267 -0.27)52.47% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (-0.229 -0.23)74.14% (0.221 0.22)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.14099999999999 0.14)23.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.209 0.21)57.04% (-0.215 -0.21)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)32.88% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-0.615 -0.62)69.45% (0.60799999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 45.16%
    Northampton Town 28.77%
    Draw 26.05%
Ipswich TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 0-1 Colchester
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Northampton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two


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