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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James Park
MT

Exeter
2 - 1
Mansfield

Dieng (61'), Jay (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hawkins (50')
Lapslie (71'), Rawson (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMansfield Town
44.08%27.53%28.39%
Both teams to score 47.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.79%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.35%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77%36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73.01%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.07%
    Mansfield Town 28.39%
    Draw 27.52%
Exeter CityDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.39%

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