Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
