Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
