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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
LO

MK Dons
1 - 3
Leyton Orient

Hendry (33')
Hendry (23'), Lindsey (24'), Lewington (38'), Wood (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kelman (6'), Perkins (21'), Agyei (90+3')
James (25'), Obiero (45'), Happe (49'), Cooper (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Leyton Orient (Leyton Orient win on penalties)

With MK Dons flying high in League Two and Leyton Orient at risk of demotion from League One, Tuesday's encounter is a difficult game to call, especially with both sides also on cloud nine from dominant wins at the weekend. The bonus-point penalty shootout may be required to determine the victor, and Wellens's men have our vote to come up trumps from 12 yards, although that may only be a consolation victory in the grand scheme of things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawLeyton Orient
37.31% (2.426 2.43) 24.98% (-0.044 -0.04) 37.7% (-2.384 -2.38)
Both teams to score 57.83% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.422 0.42)45.57% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.401 0.4)67.9% (-0.402 -0.4)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (1.549 1.55)24.06% (-1.549 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (2.157 2.16)58.33% (-2.157 -2.16)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-1.036 -1.04)23.85% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (-1.507 -1.51)58.03% (1.506 1.51)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.31%
    Leyton Orient 37.7%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawLeyton Orient
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.336 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.402 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.326 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.303 0.3)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.484 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-2 Leyton Orient (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Colchester (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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