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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
AW

MK Dons
0 - 2
AFC Wimbledon


Hogan (30'), Lemonheigh-Evans (38'), Thompson-Sommers (57'), Gilbey (90+5'), Harrison (90+5')
Lemonheigh-Evans (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stevens (44'), Bugiel (51')
Neufville (12'), Hippolyte (67'), Stevens (73'), Lewis (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brighton U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: MK Dons 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

Expect Sunday's intriguing affair to partially live up to the pre-match billing, as goals are flowing into both nets whenever MK Dons take to the field, while Wimbledon gave a terrific account of themselves at Port Vale. However, the hosts are more in-form, more well-rested and are seldom outfought at home to Wimbledon, so we expect Lindsey's men to exact revenge for September's loss and progress to round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawAFC Wimbledon
44.87% (1.304 1.3) 25.09% (-0.135 -0.13) 30.04% (-1.167 -1.17)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (0.073 0.07)47.86% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.069000000000003 0.07)70.04% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.631 0.63)21.35% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (0.961 0.96)54.32% (-0.956 -0.96)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.753 -0.75)29.59% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.93 -0.93)65.62% (0.934 0.93)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.87%
    AFC Wimbledon 30.04%
    Draw 25.09%
MK DonsDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.105 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Arsenal U21s (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brighton U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy


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