Home may not be where the heart is for Leyton Orient right now, but Wellens's men are squaring up to a Colchester side who have gone almost nine months without a competitive clean sheet away from home.
We cannot envisage the visitors snapping their dismal defensive streak on the road this week, and the League One side may need just the one goal to even things up in their EFL Trophy section.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).