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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7pm UK
The County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Arsenal U21s

Dabre (17'), Taylor-Hart (69' og.)
Hunt (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ideho (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
57.29%22.17%20.54%
Both teams to score 55.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56%43.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16%65.83%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07%14.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68%43.32%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95%35.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21%71.79%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 57.29%
    Arsenal Under-21s 20.54%
    Draw 22.17%
Swindon TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 6.29%
3-0 @ 6%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 5.23%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.49%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.54%

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