Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
