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League Two | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
NT

Newport
0 - 1
Northampton


Livermore (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (43')
Rose (76'), McWilliams (76'), Flores (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawNorthampton Town
46.74%29.51%23.75%
Both teams to score 38.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.21%66.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.88%85.12%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15%64.85%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.76%45.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88%81.12%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.73%
    Northampton Town 23.75%
    Draw 29.5%
Newport CountyDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 16.23%
2-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 7.98%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 46.73%
0-0 @ 13.1%
1-1 @ 12.87%
2-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 23.75%

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