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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 8, 2020 at 6pm UK
Boundary Park
S

Oldham
1 - 2
Sunderland

Grant (13')
Diarra (64'), Grant (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maguire (30'), Scowen (64')
Wright (83')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Oldham Athletic and Sunderland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawSunderland
29.89%25.89%44.22%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89%73.11%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9%23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05%56.95%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 29.89%
    Sunderland 44.21%
    Draw 25.89%
Oldham AthleticDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.89%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.02%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 44.21%

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