Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.