Whilst cup football does spring surprises, we do not see an upset happening here. It should be Wigan who are the Athletic to come out on top, despite their potential rustiness after an enforced break, so we are backing a 2-1 away win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 2-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
