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EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Boundary Park
WL

Oldham
0 - 6
Wigan


Cisse (35')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Naylor (28'), Keane (34'), Power (36'), Massey (47'), Edwards (64', 67')

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-2 Wigan Athletic

Whilst cup football does spring surprises, we do not see an upset happening here. It should be Wigan who are the Athletic to come out on top, despite their potential rustiness after an enforced break, so we are backing a 2-1 away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 2-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawWigan Athletic
14.26%17.88%67.85%
Both teams to score 57.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4%34.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.46%56.54%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12%36.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33%73.67%
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65%9.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.51%31.49%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 14.26%
    Wigan Athletic 67.85%
    Draw 17.89%
Oldham AthleticDrawWigan Athletic
2-1 @ 4.06%
1-0 @ 3.44%
2-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.6%
3-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.26%
1-1 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.82%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.89%
0-2 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 8.17%
0-3 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 7.63%
0-4 @ 4.54%
1-4 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 3.81%
2-4 @ 2.26%
0-5 @ 2.15%
1-5 @ 2.15%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 67.85%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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