Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
