Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
39.9% | 26.51% | 33.59% |
Both teams to score 52.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% | 52.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% | 74.28% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% | 25.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% | 60.88% |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% | 65.64% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.59% |
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