Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
