Colchester have been much improved of late, something which should give them a fighting chance at the weekend. Nevertheless, Wigan should be far too strong, particularly in the defensive third, and we are backing the visitors to run out comfortable victors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
