Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.