Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.