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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
BL

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Bolton

Barnett (19'), Cummings (43')
Walker (23'), Vela (32'), Cummings (45+3'), Pierre (78'), High (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Senior (64')
Senior (80')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
44.99%27.05%27.96%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33%56.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37%77.63%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91%25.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22%59.78%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 44.99%
    Bolton Wanderers 27.96%
    Draw 27.04%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.96%


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