SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | MK Dons |
| 29.64% | 25.48% | 44.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% | 49.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% | 71.71% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% | 30.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.92% | 67.08% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.51% | 55.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.76% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.87% |
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