SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Odd win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Odd win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Odd would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Odd |
34.46% ( 0.01) | 25.23% ( 0.12) | 40.31% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.52) | 46.99% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( -0.49) | 69.23% ( 0.49) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( -0.24) | 26.33% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( -0.32) | 61.46% ( 0.33) |
| Odd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.29) | 23.14% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( -0.43) | 57% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Odd |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.31% |
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